Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.054898 0.059512 0.064179 0.069243 0.074577 0.080022 0.085991
2025-04-06 0.047441 0.054188 0.061247 0.069158 0.077748 0.086767 0.096927
2025-04-13 0.042957 0.051362 0.060420 0.070846 0.082454 0.094922 0.109265
2025-04-20 0.037898 0.047351 0.057827 0.070189 0.084267 0.099694 0.117771
2025-04-27 0.034343 0.044665 0.056397 0.070546 0.086976 0.105290 0.127082
2025-05-04 0.031895 0.043012 0.055935 0.071821 0.090581 0.111796 0.137365
2025-05-11 0.030293 0.042200 0.056320 0.073970 0.095116 0.119325 0.148817
2025-05-18 0.026578 0.038515 0.053014 0.071498 0.094018 0.120164 0.152409
2025-05-25 0.024261 0.036415 0.051491 0.071041 0.095202 0.123587 0.158949
2025-06-01 0.022216 0.034516 0.050089 0.070615 0.096325 0.126864 0.165270
2025-06-08 0.021475 0.034279 0.050752 0.072737 0.100555 0.133874 0.176068
2025-06-15 0.020483 0.033628 0.050821 0.074058 0.103765 0.139640 0.185389
2025-06-22 0.019330 0.032721 0.050546 0.074964 0.106520 0.144958 0.194327
2025-06-29 0.017853 0.031264 0.049465 0.074768 0.107846 0.148509 0.201131
2025-07-06 0.017181 0.030921 0.049861 0.076495 0.111629 0.155125 0.211742
2025-07-13 0.015729 0.029336 0.048471 0.075775 0.112205 0.157706 0.217361
2025-07-20 0.014748 0.028391 0.047918 0.076137 0.114158 0.162002 0.225115
2025-07-27 0.014146 0.027987 0.048098 0.077474 0.117377 0.167905 0.234895
2025-08-03 0.013862 0.028060 0.048950 0.079735 0.121831 0.175407 0.246728
2025-08-10 0.012212 0.025837 0.046367 0.077129 0.119719 0.174434 0.247821
2025-08-17 0.011269 0.024703 0.045332 0.076647 0.120419 0.177059 0.253461
2025-08-24 0.010405 0.023640 0.044353 0.076197 0.121128 0.179674 0.259081
2025-08-31 0.010256 0.023801 0.045234 0.078432 0.125527 0.187137 0.270963